{"id":328344,"date":"2020-01-08T10:04:44","date_gmt":"2020-01-08T07:04:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/?p=328344"},"modified":"2020-01-08T16:03:41","modified_gmt":"2020-01-08T13:03:41","slug":"des-chercheurs-israeliens-inventent-une-methode-pour-anticiper-les-tempetes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/fr\/des-chercheurs-israeliens-inventent-une-methode-pour-anticiper-les-tempetes\/","title":{"rendered":"Des chercheurs isra\u00e9liens inventent une m\u00e9thode pour anticiper les temp\u00eates"},"content":{"rendered":"

Des chercheurs isra\u00e9liens et allemands ont d\u00e9velopp\u00e9 une m\u00e9thode r\u00e9volutionnaire pour pr\u00e9dire les \u00e9v\u00e9nements m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques majeurs comme El Ni\u00f1o.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Par l’\u00e9quipe d’Unis avec Isra\u00ebl<\/em><\/p>\n

Des chercheurs de l’Universit\u00e9 Bar-Ilan d’Isra\u00ebl et de l’Universit\u00e9 Giessen et de l’Institut Potsdam pour la recherche sur l’impact du climat en Allemagne ont d\u00e9velopp\u00e9 un algorithme permettant de pr\u00e9dire les \u00e9v\u00e9nements m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques majeurs.<\/p>\n

L’algorithme est capable d’identifier la survenue de ph\u00e9nom\u00e8nes m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques violents, comme El Ni\u00f1o, une ann\u00e9e compl\u00e8te avant qu’ils ne se mat\u00e9rialisent, offrant ainsi une plus grande opportunit\u00e9 de pr\u00e9parer des temp\u00eates massives et d’autres catastrophes naturelles.<\/p>\n

Les mod\u00e8les pr\u00e9dictifs plus anciens ne fournissaient qu’un d\u00e9lai de six mois.<\/p>\n

Cette \u00e9quipe de chercheurs pr\u00e9voit d\u00e8s \u00e0 pr\u00e9sent maintenant qu’en 2020, Isra\u00ebl sera frapp\u00e9 par El Ni\u00f1o, une configuration m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique associ\u00e9e aux temp\u00e9ratures oc\u00e9aniques qui provoquent des temp\u00eates intenses dans certains endroits et des s\u00e9cheresses dans d’autres.<\/p>\n

Si El Ni\u00f1o frappait Isra\u00ebl, cela pourrait influer sur la quantit\u00e9 de pluies dans le pays, remplissant peut-\u00eatre la mer de Galil\u00e9e, la seule source d’eau douce du pays, ainsi que le Jourdain, qui alimente le Kinneret, un autre nom pour le Mer de Galil\u00e9e. Isra\u00ebl a souffert de nombreuses ann\u00e9es de s\u00e9cheresse, causant un \u00e9puisement important de la mer de Galil\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

\u00ab\u00a0Ce nouvel algorithme est un moyen prometteur de pr\u00e9dire El Ni\u00f1o<\/em>\u00ab\u00a0, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Shlomo Havlin, professeur prim\u00e9 au D\u00e9partement de physique de Bar-Ilan qui a aid\u00e9 \u00e0 d\u00e9velopper l’algorithme, selon Ynet.<\/p>\n

\u00ab\u00a0Les anciennes m\u00e9thodes n’offraient aucun moyen de pr\u00e9dire de mani\u00e8re fiable El Ni\u00f1o plus de six mois avant que l’\u00e9v\u00e9nement ne se produise; ce nouvel algorithme double fondamentalement nos capacit\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction<\/em>\u00ab\u00a0, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 le professeur Armin Bond de l’Universit\u00e9 de Giessen, qui a lanc\u00e9 le d\u00e9veloppement de l’algorithme, selon Ynet.<\/p>\n

L’algorithme a d\u00e9j\u00e0 pr\u00e9dit avec succ\u00e8s deux occurrences d’El Ni\u00f1o dans l’oc\u00e9an Pacifique. Il a trouv\u00e9 80% de chances qu’Isra\u00ebl soit confront\u00e9 aux changements climatiques li\u00e9s \u00e0 El Ni\u00f1o en 2020, selon le rapport.<\/p>\n

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Des chercheurs isra\u00e9liens et allemands ont d\u00e9velopp\u00e9 une m\u00e9thode r\u00e9volutionnaire pour pr\u00e9dire les \u00e9v\u00e9nements m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques majeurs comme El Ni\u00f1o. Par l’\u00e9quipe d’Unis avec Isra\u00ebl Des chercheurs de l’Universit\u00e9 Bar-Ilan d’Isra\u00ebl et de l’Universit\u00e9 Giessen et de l’Institut Potsdam pour la recherche sur l’impact du climat en Allemagne ont d\u00e9velopp\u00e9 un algorithme permettant de pr\u00e9dire les… Read more »<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4242,"featured_media":328348,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[28414],"tags":[37144,30152,30758,37145,30043],"class_list":["post-328344","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-influence-israelienne","tag-algorithme","tag-chercheurs","tag-meteo","tag-previsions","tag-tempete"],"better_featured_image":{"id":328348,"alt_text":"","caption":"Shutterstock","description":"","media_type":"image","media_details":{"width":4500,"height":3182,"file":"2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384.jpg","sizes":{"thumbnail":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-150x150.jpg","width":150,"height":150,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-150x150.jpg"},"medium":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-300x212.jpg","width":300,"height":212,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-300x212.jpg"},"medium_large":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-768x543.jpg","width":768,"height":543,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-768x543.jpg"},"large":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-1024x724.jpg","width":1024,"height":724,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-1024x724.jpg"},"uwi-full-width":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-735x520.jpg","width":735,"height":520,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-735x520.jpg"},"uwi-featured-carousel":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-890x400.jpg","width":890,"height":400,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-890x400.jpg"},"uwi-featured-content":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-290x160.jpg","width":290,"height":160,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-290x160.jpg"},"uwi-content-loop":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-190x190.jpg","width":190,"height":190,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-190x190.jpg"},"uwi-category_list":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-180x100.jpg","width":180,"height":100,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-180x100.jpg"},"uwi-tiny":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-40x40.jpg","width":40,"height":40,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-40x40.jpg"},"uwi-email-featured":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-250x170.jpg","width":250,"height":170,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-250x170.jpg"},"uwi-email":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-200x140.jpg","width":200,"height":140,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-200x140.jpg"},"uwi-iphone":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-960x640.jpg","width":960,"height":640,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-960x640.jpg"},"uwi-iphone-x2":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-1136x640.jpg","width":1136,"height":640,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-1136x640.jpg"},"uwi-ipad":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-1024x768.jpg","width":1024,"height":768,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-1024x768.jpg"},"uwi-ipad-x2":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-2048x1536.jpg","width":2048,"height":1536,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-2048x1536.jpg"},"uwi-full-width-video":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-734x519.jpg","width":734,"height":519,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unitedwithisrael.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/shutterstock_107588384-734x519.jpg"},"uwi-fb-share-video":{"file":"shutterstock_107588384-600x315.jpg","width":600,"height":315,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/kinsta.unit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